Show me a graph of a player who has consistently improved over time. It doesn't exist. It's usually rapid increase or decrease at the beginning then just hovering around a rating forever. Give me a player profile graph and show me slow, long term improvement.
Magnus Carlsen's rating progress chart: https://ratings.fide.com/id.phtml?event=1503014
In June 2000 (not displayed on graph), Carlsen was rated 904. In April 2001, Carlsen was rated 2064. By October 2004, Carlsen was rated 2581. By November 2009, Carlsen was rated 2801. Since then, Carlsen has remained consistently over 2800. The graph shows a "slow and steady improvement" of 1800 points over nine years.
Everyone has a limit of natural ability. For Magnus, that limit is around 2850. For me, the limit may be around 2600. I don't know. It's like bench pressing. Right now I can bench 150 pounds. Last year, I could only bench 80 pounds. (I was a weakling back then.) In a year or two, I may be able to bench 200 pounds. But there is a natural limit to exactly how much I can bench. Maybe it is 250 pounds. Maybe 300. Maybe 400.
Everyone has a natural improvement limit, but that limit tends to be well over how much they actually believe they can improve.
psylowade, if you were to play for six hours of chess every day for the next twenty years, I am quite confident that you could be a grandmaster.
In conclusion, where you're wrong is that you believe that the fact that there is such a thing as a physically impossible rating barrier to breach means that improvement is impossible. It doesn't, it just means that improvement is limited.
This is going to be a very controversial post - but I strongly believe that once someone has a basic understanding of the game (knowing all the opening variations, basic strategies etc..) it's almost impossible to improve based on practice. I think we all have a natural ability that will dictate our skill level. It's why we see little kids rated as grandmasters but players who have put 20+ years in still struggle at 1500
This is why you see that majority of players, who have played for over 5 years ALWAYS hover around the same rating. You would think after 5 years of consistent practice the rating would gradually increase?
Every single graph I've looked at at long term players is within 200 rating points. I.e. if someone is rated 1900 they will have hovered between 1800-2000 for their entire careers. It makes me believe chess is based on genetic intelligence you're born with and nothing more. Yes you can sharpen your skill but you're not going to go from struggling at 1000 to 2500 in 10 years.
I know the majority of you are thinking "what an idiot of course you can improve" - Show me a graph of a player who has consistently improved over time. It doesn't exist. It's usually rapid increase or decrease at the beginning then just hovering around a rating forever. Give me a player profile graph and show me slow, long term improvement