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Chess.com ratings have massively deflated since 2020

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JankogajdoskoLEGM
seberta wrote:

I have had the feeling that it has been getting harder to beat players with the same rating. I have been around the same rating for many years now, and so I wanted to do an analysis on my own games using the accuracy rating of chess.com . I could expand the analysis but wanted to hear some feedback on what you thought about the approach:

I looked at 711 Rapid games I played between 2017 and 2024 and calculated my average accuracy per year, as well as my average rating. I excluded games less than 20 moves as they seemed less relevant in terms of accuracy. I also excluded 2018 and 2021 because I hardly played any games these years.

Then I calculated the ratio of ELO rating per accuracy point by dividing the two, and here is the data I got:

As you can see my accuracy increases over time in the past few years, while my average rating stays similar, leading to a decreasing ratio that is lowest in 2024.

If I expand the analysis to include my opponents, the table shows similar data:

This would indicate a rating deflation, as it gets harder to beat an opponent of a similar rating.

Game is rigged my dear friend

nklristic
seberta wrote:

I have had the feeling that it has been getting harder to beat players with the same rating. I have been around the same rating for many years now, and so I wanted to do an analysis on my own games using the accuracy rating of chess.com . I could expand the analysis but wanted to hear some feedback on what you thought about the approach:

I looked at 711 Rapid games I played between 2017 and 2024 and calculated my average accuracy per year, as well as my average rating. I excluded games less than 20 moves as they seemed less relevant in terms of accuracy. I also excluded 2018 and 2021 because I hardly played any games these years.

Then I calculated the ratio of ELO rating per accuracy point by dividing the two, and here is the data I got:

As you can see my accuracy increases over time in the past few years, while my average rating stays similar, leading to a decreasing ratio that is lowest in 2024.

If I expand the analysis to include my opponents, the table shows similar data:

This would indicate a rating deflation, as it gets harder to beat an opponent of a similar rating.

Accuracy was changed in 2021. or 2022, I am not completely sure. So the results will not be great.

As a result, everyone gets higher accuracy now, especially for bad games. I had games with 20 something accuracy before the change, and when I review the game now, it shows 50 or 60 now.

I am actually surprised that the spike is not bigger in your games, though it makes sense that this would impact novice players more drastically than it affects you.

They did it obviously in order for lower rated people not to feel bad about their games. What it actually did is that it probably increased suspicions of cheating.

https://support.chess.com/en/articles/8708970-how-is-accuracy-in-analysis-determined

There are less people with high 90s now (though of course compared to the amount of other games, those are marginal), and a lot less people below 60.

Or, in other words - everyone is beautiful here. grin.png

stancco

Is it possible being evil and beautiful at the same time?

TheMidnightExpress12

Trolls here too?

JankogajdoskoLEGM
TheMidnightExpress12 wrote:

Trolls here too?

Stop bully me Im not A troll Im A janko Gajdosko, You stop bully ok?

BigChessplayer665
nklristic wrote:
seberta wrote:

I have had the feeling that it has been getting harder to beat players with the same rating. I have been around the same rating for many years now, and so I wanted to do an analysis on my own games using the accuracy rating of chess.com . I could expand the analysis but wanted to hear some feedback on what you thought about the approach:

I looked at 711 Rapid games I played between 2017 and 2024 and calculated my average accuracy per year, as well as my average rating. I excluded games less than 20 moves as they seemed less relevant in terms of accuracy. I also excluded 2018 and 2021 because I hardly played any games these years.

Then I calculated the ratio of ELO rating per accuracy point by dividing the two, and here is the data I got:

As you can see my accuracy increases over time in the past few years, while my average rating stays similar, leading to a decreasing ratio that is lowest in 2024.

If I expand the analysis to include my opponents, the table shows similar data:

This would indicate a rating deflation, as it gets harder to beat an opponent of a similar rating.

Accuracy was changed in 2021. or 2022, I am not completely sure. So the results will not be great.

As a result, everyone gets higher accuracy now, especially for bad games. I had games with 20 something accuracy before the change, and when I review the game now, it shows 50 or 60 now.

I am actually surprised that the spike is not bigger in your games, though it makes sense that this would impact novice players more drastically than it affects you.

They did it obviously in order for lower rated people not to feel bad about their games. What it actually did is that it probably increased suspicions of cheating.

https://support.chess.com/en/articles/8708970-how-is-accuracy-in-analysis-determined

There are less people with high 90s now (though of course compared to the amount of other games, those are marginal), and a lot less people below 60.

Or, in other words - everyone is beautiful here.

Yup unfortunately the average seems to be around 80 ish for evevryone I think chess.com made it so it compared games based off elo rating like in elo rating estimator and it inflated begginers and deflated better players

BigChessplayer665

It doesn't help that beginners are getting better overall due to YouTube and other easy to reach sources so it would prob be skewed anyway

BigChessplayer665
tygxc wrote:

@10

"there has been a ratings deflation (as well as other side effects) in the FIDE rating system"
++ Yes, but FIDE uses the 1970 elo system with 3 different K, while chess.com uses Glicko-2 with its RD. Glicko-2 requires more calculations, but keeps the RD high as long as the rating has not stabilised.

There was a group where he average beginner rating was 800 now it's 600

TheMidnightExpress12
JankogajdoskoLEGM wrote:
TheMidnightExpress12 wrote:

Trolls here too?

Stop bully me Im not A troll Im A janko Gajdosko, You stop bully ok?

lol. I mean it is a skill issue idk what else to tell you

JankogajdoskoLEGM
BigChessplayer665 wrote:

It doesn't help that beginners are getting better overall due to YouTube and other easy to reach sources so it would prob be skewed anyway

ELO gatekeepers and Alghotymical conspiracy, Server Room matrix, GAMe is rigged you cant win over 99% stucked perpetualy I play Like Super GM and yet stuck? Same with many Underground masters FM, GMs, CMs etc who are even 100 ELO but gatekept so stop it

HangingPiecesChomper

most definitely rigged. why do i see 600 rated players on this site play as strong as super gms?

EFERNOO
Hi