Imbalanced Chess: what are the odds that 100 elo win against Magnus Carlsen?

Oh lol

En passant is tempting lol

And they probably dont know what chess. Com is

I was gonna say take a bucket loader to the beach, scoop up half a cubic yard of sand , count the grains and put that number before the colon. But then I saw the board setup, so......... Surely far, far better than the odds that a chimp strolling up to a typewriter would poke only the H key and then the 5 key. If the kid's first move is dead random, it's 28:1 against him playing the mate in one. But to have a rating at all, he knows the moves and the objective, right? Don't know what a 100elo is like but if he's focused he *should* see it. As a compromise I'll give him 2:1

Nope.

Also, to answer the original question, I'd say about 50% winning chance for the 100 elo, give or take 5%.

Yep.

that's not true, they're literally using the website

this seems to be a fair answer. idk how you maked a 100elo focused, probably more just able to observe than anything. fair though

fair

I think it's about 10%. The 100 would probably just give a random check, and not even know it's checkmate

No offense, but you say that ELO is bizarrely distorted, but you are only of 358 rating. So prove that you deserve a higher or lower rating by showing your rating on another platform.

nah, I feel like it's higher. It's known that most beginners like to play rather aggressive, but I agree that they probably won't know it's checkmate. But some may bring the queen out to the square other than h5.

Anyone ever see the fools mate has 100%

this isn't fool's mate... it's like fools mate but the 100=rated may not be tempted to look that way since black didn't play anything

Beginners also often love checks so theres a high chance

true but don't think that's every beginner